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COMMENTARY: Project 2025: Trump’s Blueprint for Authoritarian Rule Threatens the Future of Black Californians

For nearly three decades, Proposition 209 has restricted public institutions from considering race, sex, or ethnicity in employment and education. Then, last year, the Supreme Court’s ban of Affirmative Action further constrained those programs. By cutting federal support, Project 2025 would undermine diversity initiatives, decreasing access to employment and contracting opportunities and making it even harder for universities to support minority students even though Black student enrollment and graduation rates remain lowest in California’s higher education institutions.

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U. S. Senator Charles Schumer holds briefing in front of VA Hospital in New York on July 28, 2024 while holding photo illustrations on GOP 'Project 2025' plan as it will erode benefits for veterans. (Shutterstock)
U. S. Senator Charles Schumer holds briefing in front of VA Hospital in New York on July 28, 2024 while holding photo illustrations on GOP 'Project 2025' plan as it will erode benefits for veterans. (Shutterstock)

By Joe W. Bowers Jr., California Black Media

As the 2024 Presidential election approaches, Black Californians face a critical moment that could drastically alter their future. Project 2025, a plan crafted by the conservative Heritage Foundation, is intended to guide a potential Trump administration if he returns to office.

The Heritage Foundation touts Project 2025 as a policy agenda aimed at reducing government intervention and returning to “traditional values.” It advocates eliminating federal oversight across various sectors, promising greater efficiency and personal freedom.

However, these policy changes could have devastating consequences for Black Californians.

One of the most alarming aspects of Project 2025 is its call to eliminate the Department of Education. Such a move would likely result in severe cuts to funding for California’s public schools, disproportionately affecting Black and minority communities. These budget cuts would widen educational disparities, further limiting opportunities for Black students.

For nearly three decades, Proposition 209 has restricted public institutions from considering race, sex, or ethnicity in employment and education. Then, last year, the Supreme Court’s ban of Affirmative Action further constrained those programs. By cutting federal support, Project 2025 would undermine diversity initiatives, decreasing access to employment and contracting opportunities and making it even harder for universities to support minority students even though Black student enrollment and graduation rates remain lowest in California’s higher education institutions.

The rollback of student debt relief efforts, another key element of Project 2025, would reverse gains made under the Biden administration. These relief efforts have wiped out $138 billion in student loans. Reversing them would have a particularly harsh impact on Black Californians.

Project 2025’s push for deregulation threatens to weaken employment protections. Without strong federal oversight, the enforcement of California laws like the Fair Employment and Housing Act (FEHA) which provides critical protections against workplace discrimination based on race, gender, and disability, could falter, reducing job opportunities for Black Californians making it harder for Black individuals to advance in their careers and achieve economic stability.

Project 2025 also revives “tough on crime” policies reminiscent of the War on Drugs, which disproportionately targeted Black communities. Increased policing and harsher sentencing guidelines could lead to higher incarceration rates among Black Californians, perpetuating cycles of poverty and disenfranchisement.

Additionally, Project 2025’s stance on election integrity, including stricter voter ID laws and reduced access to early voting, could suppress Black voter turnout and undermine some of the nation-leading gains California has made to enfranchise all state residents.

Presidential candidate Kamala Harris has criticized Project 2025, warning, “This plan is a step backward for our country. It threatens to undo the progress we’ve made in ensuring that every American, regardless of their race or background, has a fair shot at success. Black communities, in particular, stand to lose the most.”

For Black Californians relying on Medi-Cal, Trump’s plans to repeal the Affordable Care Act could severely limit access to healthcare and defund some of the critical expansions in Medi-Cal coverage that California has made over the last year.

For Black Californians, the stakes have never been higher. Project 2025, coupled with an authoritarian Trump presidency, threatens to reverse decades of progress in civil rights, economic inclusion, healthcare, education, and environmental justice.

About the Author
Joe W. Bowers Jr. is a contributing editor to California Black Media. He is a graduate of Stanford University.

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Oakland Post: Week of May 28 – June 30, 2025

The printed Weekly Edition of the Oakland Post: Week of May 28 – June 3, 2025

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Oakland Post: Week of May 21 – 27, 2025

The printed Weekly Edition of the Oakland Post: Week of May 21 – 27, 2025

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OPINION: Your Voice and Vote Impact the Quality of Your Health Care

One of the most dangerous developments we’re seeing now? Deep federal cuts are being proposed to Medicaid, the life-saving health insurance program that covers nearly 80 million lower-income individuals nationwide. That is approximately 15 million Californians and about 1 million of the state’s nearly 3 million Black Californians who are at risk of losing their healthcare. 

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Rhonda M. Smith.
Rhonda M. Smith.

By Rhonda M. Smith, Special to California Black Media Partners

Shortly after last year’s election, I hopped into a Lyft and struck up a conversation with the driver. As we talked, the topic inevitably turned to politics. He confidently told me that he didn’t vote — not because he supported Donald Trump, but because he didn’t like Kamala Harris’ résumé. When I asked what exactly he didn’t like, he couldn’t specifically articulate his dislike or point to anything specific. In his words, he “just didn’t like her résumé.”

That moment really hit hard for me. As a Black woman, I’ve lived through enough election cycles to recognize how often uncertainty, misinformation, or political apathy keep people from voting, especially Black voters whose voices are historically left out of the conversation and whose health, economic security, and opportunities are directly impacted by the individual elected to office, and the legislative branches and political parties that push forth their agenda.

That conversation with the Lyft driver reflects a troubling surge in fear-driven politics across our country. We’ve seen White House executive orders gut federal programs meant to help our most vulnerable populations and policies that systematically exclude or harm Black and underserved communities.

One of the most dangerous developments we’re seeing now? Deep federal cuts are being proposed to Medicaid, the life-saving health insurance program that covers nearly 80 million lower-income individuals nationwide. That is approximately 15 million Californians and about 1 million of the state’s nearly 3 million Black Californians who are at risk of losing their healthcare.

Medicaid, called Medi-Cal in California, doesn’t just cover care. It protects individuals and families from medical debt, keeps rural hospitals open, creates jobs, and helps our communities thrive. Simply put; Medicaid is a lifeline for 1 in 5 Black Americans. For many, it’s the only thing standing between them and a medical emergency they can’t afford, especially with the skyrocketing costs of health care. The proposed cuts mean up to 7.2 million Black Americans could lose their healthcare coverage, making it harder for them to receive timely, life-saving care. Cuts to Medicaid would also result in fewer prenatal visits, delayed cancer screenings, unfilled prescriptions, and closures of community clinics. When healthcare is inaccessible or unaffordable, it doesn’t just harm individuals, it weakens entire communities and widens inequities.

The reality is Black Americans already face disproportionately higher rates of poorer health outcomes. Our life expectancy is nearly five years shorter in comparison to White Americans. Black pregnant people are 3.6 times more likely to die during pregnancy or postpartum than their white counterparts.

These policies don’t happen in a vacuum. They are determined by who holds power and who shows up to vote. Showing up amplifies our voices. Taking action and exercising our right to vote is how we express our power.

I urge you to start today. Call your representatives, on both sides of the aisle, and demand they protect Medicaid (Medi-Cal), the Affordable Care Act (Covered CA), and access to food assistance programs, maternal health resources, mental health services, and protect our basic freedoms and human rights. Stay informed, talk to your neighbors and register to vote.

About the Author

Rhonda M. Smith is the Executive Director of the California Black Health Network, a statewide nonprofit dedicated to advancing health equity for all Black Californians.

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